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Elections 08 III

The results of the elections are pouring in very slowly but steadily. There have been huge and unexpected upsets in the loss of Sheikh Rashid, Chaudhary Shujaat, Sher Afghan Niazi and Ameer Hussain. PML-Q is suffering a blow after another. PPP is emerging as the majority shareholder and a national party. PML-N is following close. ANP has once again asserted its show of strength in NWFP. All this is slowly happening.
I am thinking about Imran Khan and Qazi Hussain Ahmed. What are they thinking right now? I think they must be thinking that they have made the biggest and almost fatal mistake by not participating the elections. the future of the country has been decided for the next five years. Elections have happened and since main stream parties are winning there is little hope of post election protests. In this scenario the hopes of both Imran Khan and Qazi Hussain Ahmed to run a struggle against the dictator have dashed to the ground. Both of them must be cursing their doomed stars. I think they have made a critical mistake. The mistake is especially bad for Imran Khan's party as it will disappear in the next years. Dissolve and dissipate. Qazi's party on the other hand may remain little affected as it has survived without being in politics before. They will get time to re organize themselves. It is difficult struggle for Imran Khan now. It is doomed scenario for the judiciary and the lawyers' movement.
Musharraf will come out the winner in this situation. In one stroke he has killed three birds. He has got rid of highly unpopular chauhdarys. They no longer remain associated with his name. This will absolve him of some critcism that came his way due to them. He has completely finished Imran Khan, his most vocal critic, and spelled the death of lawyers' movement. He has achieved a divided parliament which will not be able to undo amendments as no party holds 2/3 majority. He has secured another five years of his rule as no party will now be interested in impeaching him. He has come closer to US since PPP has won majority vote.
Pakistan Army has been able to regain civilian confidence after these polls as on the surface the election results are mirroring public opinion. There is a possibility that Kiani has played Musharraf. There is a high likelihood of this too. But all these remain speculations at best.


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